The Doomsday Argument and the Simulation Argument
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Doomsday Argument and the Simulation Argument
The Doomsday Argument and the Simulation Argument share certain structural features, and hence are often discussed together (Bostrom 2003, Are you living in a computer simulation, Philosophical Quarterly, 53:243–255; Aranyosi 2004, The Doomsday Simulation Argument. Or why isn’t the end nigh, and you’re not living in a simulation, http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/190/; Richmond 2008, Doomsday, Bi...
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Using the Autodialer thought experiment, we show that the Self-Sampling Assumption (SSA) is too general, and propose a revision to the assumption that limits its applicability to causally-independent observers. Under the revised assumption, the Doomsday Argument fails, and the paradoxes associated with the standard SSA are dispelled. We also consider the effects of the revised sampling assumpti...
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The doomsday argument is a probabilistic argument that claims to predict the total lifetime of the human race. By examining the case of an individual lifetime, I conclude that the argument is fundamentally related to consciousness. I derive a reformulation stating that an infinite conscious lifetime is not possible even in principle. By considering a hypothetical conscious computer, running a n...
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In this paper, I present a solution to the Doomsday argument (DA, for short) based on a third type of solution, by contrast to on the one hand, the Carter-Leslie view and on the other hand, the EckhardtSowers-Sober analysis. The present line of thought is based on the fact that both aforementioned analyses are based on an inaccurate analogy. After discussing the imperfections of both models, I ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Synthese
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0039-7857,1573-0964
DOI: 10.1007/s11229-013-0245-9